Max Mednik
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Readings and musings

Notes on Angel by Jason Calacanis

2/2/2018

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One of my favorite books from last year was Angel: How to Invest in Technology Startups--Timeless Advice from an Angel Investor Who Turned $100,000 into $100,000,000 by Jason Calacanis. It was actionable, no-nonsense, and really informative. I loved the crisp and clear framework and suggestions; the reader can agree with them or not, but at least it's practical and direct.

I just started getting my feet wet in angel investing last year, and I plan on spending the next 6 months doing a deep dive into it as a personal experiment for myself to see if I like the process and the work (Jason's motto in the book is "do the work").

Below are my main takeaways and notes on the book. (One telltale sign I liked a book is when my notes Google Doc is 15+ pages long, as it is for this book.)


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Notes on Poor Charlie's Almanack by Charles Munger and Peter Kaufman

5/16/2015

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Over the last few months, I've been reading through Poor Charlie's Almanack: The Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger, and today I finally finished it. It represents a pretty full collection of all of Munger's public lectures and most influential publications, a true compendium of practical wisdom.

It was nice to read this big, heavy, long book over an extended period of time because I got to develop a pretty good grasp of Charlie's way of thinking, seeing the same examples and patterns repeated across the talks and drawing my own connections.

It's amazing how passionate he is about improving education and providing people with much better mental models and checklists to avoid disaster and cognitive failure.

Below are my personal biggest takeaways and notes.

Intro
Multidisciplinary
Mental models

1 portrait of Charles munger
Parents encouraged reading and gave books as gifts for holidays 
Liked Cicero
Cicero, on a life well spent
Pride in a job well done
Self improvement so long as breath lasts
Daily learning something
Always return borrowed car with full tank of gas
Educating kids at dinner table
Morality tale and downward spiral tale
Admit mistakes and learn from them immediately 
Do the job right the first time. Don't make excuses when screw up. Just fix it. 
Kids had jobs
Taught kids to be skeptical and contrarian 
Always reading
Couch message in anecdote and deliver in group setting to not single out
Buying books for whole family
Ritual and tradition, buying kids suits
Desire to understand exactly what makes things happen
Intense focus
Figure out what ur best at and keep pounding away at it

Ch 2 munger approach to life, learning, decision making
Multiple mental models
Business as an ecosystem; everything related 
Willingness to change mind
Not buying or selling often
Big money is in the waiting not in the buying or selling
If can only invest 20 times in life, u will think much harder and load up on what believe in
Focus on what to avoid first
Think in 2 approaches: rational interests at play and subconscious psychological factors 
Circles of competence
Margin of safety like backup system in engineering
Checklist before doing deal
Honesty best policy

Ch 3 mungerisms: Charlie unscripted 
Profit more from always remembering the obvious than from grasping the esoteric 
Focus investing
Low diversification 
Wait for the fat pitch
Something not worth doing is not worth doing well
Reliability is extremely important
First step to success in anything is becoming interested in it
Have wide mental models array and use them all
Jump jurisdictional boundaries
Avoid ideology
Need to use all mental models as a checklist
Use advertising for Pavlovian conditioning
To persuade, appeal to interests not reason
Nonegalitarianism: focus on your best people instead of just fairness 
1 reward and punishment super response tendency
Granny's rule: eat your carrots before dessert; do unpleasant tasks before rewarding yourself
2 liking/loving tendency
3 disliking/hating tendency
4 doubt avoidance tendency
5 inconsistency avoidance tendency
6 curiosity tendency
7 kantian fairness tendency
8 envy/jealousy tendency 
9 reciprocation tendency
10 influence from mere association tendency
Always tell us the bad news promptly. The good news can wait. 
11 pain avoiding psychological denial
12 excessive self regard tendency
13 overoptimism tendency
14 deprival super reaction
15 social proof tendency
16 contrast misreaction
17 stress influence
18 availability misweighing
19 use it or lose it tendency
20 drug misinfluence
21 Senescence misinfluence
22 authority misinfluence
23 twaddle tendency
24 reason respecting
25 lollapalooza tendency

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Notes on The Outsiders by William Thorndike

5/8/2015

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I hadn't read a business book in a while, so when Ryan Holiday recommended The Outsiders: Eight Unconventional CEOs and Their Radically Rational Blueprint for Success by William Thorndike, I decided to check it out.


It was a quick, enjoyable read. It reminded me of The Millionaire Next Door, which I read in 2011.


It's interesting how some of the best CEOs (by performance against peers) have a lot in common, and these common behaviors are NOT well known (or common) outside their group. Their contrarianism helped them succeed, and they shied away fame on purpose.

My biggest takeaways:

  • Independent thinking, not relying on advisors
  • Simple, rational calculations of returns instead of driven by hype
  • The power of frugality
  • Patience in waiting for the right opportunity (reminds me of surfing!)


Preface
Better performance than peers
Jack welch not best Ceo
Context matters
Capital allocation and business operations top jobs 
Conventional CEOs rarely beat their peers
What counts is per share value growth not overall
Cash flow matters more than reported earnings
Decentralized organizations keep entrepreneurial energy up and costs down
In acquisitions, patience is a virtue as well as boldness
Value investing
Share buybacks
Independent thinking, not advisors or consultants or Wall Street
Nondescript locations
Frugal
Humble
Devoted to families
Quiet
Not famous or charismatic
Did not write books
Outperformed peers by 20X

Intro
Positive deviants
First time CEOs
New to their industry 
Old fashioned values
Iconoclasts
Low or no dividends
Thinking more like investors than managers
When ur own stock cheap buy it yourself
When expensive use it to buy other companies
Greedy when others fearful
Mastery is different from innovation
Simplicity of focus
Optimize long term value per share
Trying to shrink share bases through repurchases
Growth doesn't go with maximizing share value
Key is cash flow

1 perpetual motion machine for returns: Tom Murphy (capital cities broadcasting)
Opportunistically buying companies
Don't diversify into unrelated businesses
Don't build up fancy hq
No former broadcast experience
Removed limos and perks and did layoffs at acquisitions
Flat organization
Local managers with power
Long periods of inactivity with periodic big acquisitions
Eschew diversification
No investment bankers
No delegating investing or buying decisions
Sourcing deals from direct contact with sellers
Self deprecating style
Pricing discipline
Manager autonomy my

2 Henry singleton and teledyne
No dividends
Decentralized operations
No Wall Street discussions
Math and chess background
Focused on cash flow not reported earnings
Investor relations or guidance poor use of time
No conferences
Board consists of owners
Tender offers

3 turnaround, bill Anders, general dynamics 
Engineering degree
Should only be in business where can be number 1 or 2
Rational
Asset sales

4 value creation, John Malone, tci
Tax minimization focus
Simple rule to buy companies only if price no more than 5X; no projections

5 widow, Katherine graham, Washington post
Dividends tax inefficient because double taxed
Lots of acquisitions and diversification
Brought on Buffett as mentor to board when he was unknown

6 public lbo, bill sturitz, ralston purina
Grassroots experience
Leverage to boost returns
Spin offs

7 optimizing the family firm, dick smith, general cinemas
Diversifying acquisitions 

8 investor as CEO, Buffett
Switch in philosophy from net capital value investing to brand names
Cigar butts to franchises
Decide which businesses best to get rid of
If in chronically leaking boat, devote energy to changing vessels than patching leaks
Investment concentration
Long holding periods
Hire well, manage little
Blank calendar
No computer
Reading 5 newspapers
Detailed annual reports

9 radical rationality 
Introversion
Humility
Patience for right opportunity 
Long term perspective

Epilogue
Outsider's checklist
Allocation process Ceo led
Start by determining hurdle rate
Calculate expected return for all internal and external projects
Calculate return for stock repurchase
Focus on after tax returns
Calculate conservative cash and debt levels and stay within them
Consider decentralized org model
Retain capital in business if confident can maintain return above hurdle rate
If do not have high return projects consider paying dividend but hard to reverse and tax inefficient
Ok to sell business when prices high. Ok to close bad businesses without required return.

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